Some Contributions
of Rolf R. Mantel to Economists' Formation
Omar O.
Chisari
Introducing James Tobin at the XXI Annual Meeting of the Argentine
Association of Political Economy, Rolf Mantel remembered a qualification
applied formerly to Tobin: "An Economist to economists"
(Tobin (1986), page 17).
This definition
of the man is very apt. Because Rolf Mantel channeled most of
his own work and efforts in two directions: trying to make more
consistent and logical the theoretical construction of economics,
and giving us, as economists, better tools to take or recommend
policy decisions.
Rolf Mantel
taught us several things, both to people working at the theoretical
frontier of economics as to practicing professionals, in part
because economics is a science where there is a very thin line
between theory and professional practice.
Let us remember
some examples of the contributions of Rolf Mantel in these two
spheres, some of them drawn up by himself (Mantel
(1985)). I have selected a few of them, only three, under
the influence of my own interests and preferences.
Rolf Mantel
(1974) replied with an elegant proof to the Sonnenschein
Conjecture (1973), "
the last step lacking
to Uzawa's theorem, to permit concluding that the Kakutani mathematical
problem and the Walras economic one are equivalent from the purely
logical point of view" (see Mantel (1985)).
Given that
aggregate excess demand functions are continuous, homogeneous
and conform to Walras' law, the problem was to demonstrate the
reciprocal proposition, that is, arbitrary functions, with the
properties of being continuous, homogeneous and verifying Walras'
law could be deemed excess demand functions of some economy (in
which these functions could be derived from consumers and producers
behaviour as usually postulated).
Mantel's proof
was superior to the Sonnenschein one because he didn't constrain
himself to polinomial functions in prices, using instead specifications
that differed "slightly" from convex functions (Debreu
(1974) generalized thereafter the proposition). In fact, in
his synthesis of microeconomics, Mas-Colell, Whinston and Green
(1995) name the corresponding section of their
book (17.E) as "Anything Goes: The Sonnenschein-Mantel-Debreu
Theorem".
The consequences
of those papers are more than relevant for our science. The consistency
of the Walrasian model, so elegant and fruitful, is a necessary
corollary of the logical equivalence between the general equilibrium
model of Walras and fixed point theorems; the Walrasian theory
of general equilibrium, when it is founded on basic data such
as preferences, endowments and technologies, is mathematical by
its own nature.
Moreover,
every method of calculation of a solution must have a fixed point
theorem incorporated. Mantel himself noted this property (Mantel
(1985)) when summarizing his research on computing general
equilibrium.
There, in
the discovery of such algorithms of calculation, we have a second
instance of the contributions of Professor Mantel to our discipline.
His algorithm minimized the distance between actual and equilibrium,
unknown prices, and discarded fixed points theorems.
Scarf corrected
Mantel's method, searched for prices at which quantities demanded
and supplied were approximately equal, and his algorithm - which
neither computes an equilibrium but only approximates to it (see
Ellickson (1993)) - was improved upon by Merril.
Mantel (1978) offered thereafter a proposal with
a superior procedure; without his research and his initial impetus,
the field of general computable equilibrium would have arrived,
no doubt, later to its current state.
Models of
general computable equilibrium have been and are useful tools
for decision-making, as well as forecasting and policy design.
Mantel (1985) summarized a great deal of applications;
also, Shoven and Whalley (1992) present an interesting
discussion.
Now let us
see the last example. In recent years Professor Mantel insisted
on a line of research that he had initiated in the seventies,
on the utilisation of a variable rate of discount in models of
optimal control, under the influence of developments by I. Fisher,
Uzawa and Koopmans.
I had the
opportunity of commenting on a paper presented by him on this
subject, at a conference in Tafí del Valle, organized by
the National University of Tucumán and the University of
Chile. He offered an improved presentation on the same subject
at a Miguel Sidrauski Lecture, at the XV Latin-American Meeting
of the Econometric Society, organized at Santiago de Chile in
August 1998.
Professor
Mantel had several important insights when he insisted on the
need to have consistent models of optimal control with a variable
rate of temporal preference.
As he used
to say (Mantel (1993b)), in models of discret
time there is the possibility of relaxing the hypothesis of time-independent
preferences, and obtaining then a greater wealth of results. This
is impossible with continuous time analysis.
A very important
consequence is derived from this generalisation: the dependence
of asymptotic trajectories on initial conditions and, in this
sense, the proposition that the final position of an economy depends
crucially on the stock of resources it owns, that is, our aspirations
can depend on our endowments - see Mantel (1993a)
and also Mantel (1998) for a synthesis of the
main results.
The main insight
was that differences in growth between countries "could be
explained in terms of interacting preferences and actual resources,
more than in terms of technological factors" (see Mantel
(1998)).
As a consequence,
it is convenient to emphasize two aspects of this line of research.
Even when data used by economists are represented in discrete
time, we cannot dismiss that economic agents take their decisions
in continuous time; Mantel's last papers close the gap between
the process of perceiving information and the building of theoretical
and planning-oriented models of growth, from an axiomatic point
of departure.
Besides, he
was providing useful material to the new literature on endogenous
growth. In place of emphasizing factor externalities or the public-good
characteristic of some inputs, which impose a lower bound to growth
impending the occurrence of a stationary state, he pointed to
the dependence of a preference parameter on control variables,
for example the consumption level. We can add that some of the
recent literature analyzes also the processes of habit formation
in determining asset prices, abandoning the restrictive hypothesis
of inter-temporal separability (e.g. Chapman (1998)).
In the cases
we have revised, as in his other areas of research, Rolf Mantel
always preferred using mathematical tools and building from an
axiomatic base, clear and consistent. Notwithstanding, I have
obtained from this revision of his publications, studies and contributions
an interesting corollary: for him, the mathematical method always
was useful to solve an economic problem. Does this imply that
some theorems in Walrasian economics seem mathematical theorems?
Obviously this is as it should be in his field of research. After
all, Uzawa proved that fixed point theorems and the existence
of an equilibrium solution are equivalent (see again Mantel
(1985)).
Of course,
his field of research was much larger than the mentioned subjects.
There are in his papers research on international trade, growth,
optimal taxes, equity and income distribution, even the history
of economic thought; several contributions were co-authored with
his wife.
It is not
difficult to assess his high quality not only as an economist,
but as a human being. To be tolerant towards young economists
- several steps down the value scale! - who are, on occasions,
both imprudent and irreverent, is one of those relevant proxy
variables of personal value. When I first met Rolf Mantel he was
already a distinguished personality and economist. But this didn't
impede his being kind to me and to other colleagues, still novel
concerning theoretical economics.
One of the
distinct characteristics of human beings is that we are able to
conceive states of nature in which we no longer exist. It is a
paradox that this is easier than to antipate a scenario in which
other people, necessary to us or whose work provides sense to
the world, are lost. Rolf Mantel's passing catches us by surprise,
especially those of us who are economists, and we feel that our
logical edifice is suddenly more fragile than before.
References
-
Chapman
D.A. (1998), "Habit Formation and Aggregate Consumption",
Econometrica, Vol.66, No.5, September, 1223-1230.
-
Debreu,
G. (1974), "Excess Demand Functions", Journal of
Mathematical Economics, 1, 15-23.
-
Ellickson,
Bryan (1993), Competitive Equilibrium. Theory and Applications,
Cambridge University Press.
-
Mantel
Rolf R. (1974), "On the Characterization of Aggregate Excess
Demand", Journal of Economic Theory, 7, 348-353.
-
Mantel
Rolf R.(1978), "Un algoritmo acelerado para la determinación
de una solución de equilibrio económico",
Serie de Estudios Técnicos, No.33, Centro de Estudios
Monetarios y Bancarios, Banco Central de la República
Argentina; Junio.
-
Mantel
Rolf R. (1985), El Papel de la Matemática en la Economía
Contemporánea, Serie Documentos de Trabajo, no. 50,
Centro de Estudios Macroeconómicos de Argentina, Mayo.
-
Mantel
Rolf R. (1993a), "Grandma´s dress, or what's new
for optimal growth", Revista de Análisis Económico,
Vol. 8, No.1, pp. 61-81, Junio.
-
Mantel
Rolf R. (1993b), "Estructura intertemporal de las preferencias",
Anales de la Asociación Argentina de Economía
Política, XXVIII Reunión Anual, Universidad
Nacional de Tucumán.
-
Mantel
Rolf R. (1998), "The effects of a decreasing rate of time
preference on the accumulation of capital", Serie Seminarios,
Instituto y Universidad Torcuato Di Tella; Julio.
-
Mas-Colell
Andreu, M.D. Whinston y J.R.Green (1995), Microeconomic Theory,
Oxford University Press.
-
Shoven,
J.B. y John Whalley (1992), Applying General Equilibrium,
Cambridge Surveys of Economic Literature, Cambridge University
Press.
-
Sonnenschein
Hugo (1973), "Do Walras' Identity and Continuity Characterize
the Class of Community Excess Demand Functions?", Journal
of Economic Theory, 6, 345-354.
-
Tobin, James (1988), La Teoría General de Keynes,
cincuenta años después, XXI Reunión
Anual de la Asociación Argentina de Economía Política,
Ed. Tesis